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style=\"text-indent:2em;\">\u516d\u3001\u7814\u7a76\u7ed3\u8bba<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">\u672c\u6587\u57fa\u4e8eSTIRPAT \u6a21\u578b\u548c\u5cad\u56de\u5f52\u65b9\u6cd5\u6784\u5efa\u4e86\u6211\u56fd\u78b3\u6392\u653e\u91cf\u9884\u6d4b\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u7ed3\u5408\u60c5\u666f\u5206\u6790\u6cd5\uff0c\u9488\u5bf9\u57fa\u51c6\u60c5\u666f\u3001\u4f4e\u78b3\u60c5\u666f\u548c\u9ad8\u78b3\u60c5\u666f\u5bf9\u5f71\u54cd\u56e0\u7d20\u8bbe\u5b9a\u4e0d\u540c\u53d8\u5316\u7387\uff0c\u5206\u522b\u9884\u6d4b\u4e86\u591a\u60c5\u666f\u4e0b\u6211\u56fd2024\u20142033\u5e74\u7684\u78b3\u6392\u653e\u91cf\uff0c\u5f97\u5230\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u7ed3\u8bba\u5982\u4e0b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">\u7b2c\u4e00\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u5206\u6790\u6211\u56fd\u80fd\u6e90\u6d88\u8d39\u548c\u78b3\u6392\u653e\u60c5\u51b5\uff0c2003\u20142023\u5e74\u6211\u56fd\u7684\u78b3\u6392\u653e\u603b\u91cf\u6574\u4f53\u5448\u4e0d\u65ad\u4e0a\u5347\u8d8b\u52bf\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u57282003\u20142011\u5e74\uff0c\u6211\u56fd\u78b3\u6392\u653e\u603b\u91cf\u5448\u9010\u5e74\u5feb\u901f\u589e\u957f\u7684\u8d8b\u52bf\uff0c\u4e14\u5386\u5e74\u7684\u78b3\u6392\u653e\u589e\u957f\u7387\u57fa\u672c\u5747\u8d85\u8fc77%\u3002\u57282012\u5e74\u78b3\u6392\u653e\u603b\u91cf\u8d85\u8fc7100\u4ebft\uff0c\u4e0e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u548c\u80fd\u6e90\u6d88\u8d39\u91cf\u7684\u9aa4\u589e\u6709\u5173\u3002\u4f46\u81ea2013\u5e74\u8d77\uff0c\u6211\u56fd\u5168\u9762\u5b9e\u65bd\u7eff\u8272\u53d1\u5c55\u6218\u7565\uff0c\u9010\u6b65\u4ece\u91cd\u5de5\u4e1a\u548c\u80fd\u6e90\u5bc6\u96c6\u578b\u4ea7\u4e1a\u5411\u670d\u52a1\u4e1a\u548c\u9ad8\u6280\u672f\u4ea7\u4e1a\u8f6c\u578b\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u52a0\u5927\u4e00\u6b21\u7535\u529b\u53ca\u53ef\u518d\u751f\u80fd\u6e90\u7684\u4f7f\u7528\uff0c\u51cf\u5c11\u5bf9\u7164\u70ad\u7684\u4f9d\u8d56\uff0c\u78b3\u6392\u653e\u7684\u5386\u5e74\u589e\u957f\u7387\u57fa\u672c\u57284%\u4ee5\u4e0b\uff0c\u5145\u5206\u4f53\u73b0\u4e86\u8282\u80fd\u51cf\u6392\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u663e\u8457\u6210\u6548\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">\u7b2c\u4e8c\uff0c\u672c\u6587\u6784\u5efa\u4e86\u57fa\u4e8eSTIRPAT\u548c\u5cad\u56de\u5f52\u7684\u78b3\u6392\u653e\u9884\u6d4b\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u5e76\u57fa\u4e8ePearson\u76f8\u5173\u7cfb\u6570\u6cd5\u9009\u53d6\u4eba\u53e3\u3001\u4eba\u5747GDP\u3001\u7b2c\u4e00\u4ea7\u4e1a\u5360\u6bd4\u3001\u7b2c\u4e09\u4ea7\u4e1a\u5360\u6bd4\u3001\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u5360\u6bd4\u3001\u4e00\u6b21\u7535\u529b\u53ca\u5176\u4ed6\u80fd\u6e90\u5360\u6bd4\u3001\u80fd\u6e90\u5f3a\u5ea6\u7b498\u4e2a\u78b3\u6392\u653e\u4e3b\u8981\u9a71\u52a8\u56e0\u7d20\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u8fd0\u75282003\u20142023\u5e74\u7684\u80fd\u6e90\u6d88\u8d39\u53ca\u78b3\u6392\u653e\u6570\u636e\u8fdb\u884c\u6a21\u578b\u68c0\u9a8c\uff0c\u7ed3\u679c\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u672c\u6587\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u62df\u5408\u4f18\u5ea6R\u00b2\u4e3a0.99\uff0cMAPE\u4e3a2.86%\uff0c\u9884\u6d4b\u503c\u4e0e\u771f\u5b9e\u503c\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u8bef\u5dee\u8f83\u5c0f\uff0c\u9884\u6d4b\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u62df\u5408\u7a0b\u5ea6\u8f83\u9ad8\uff0c\u9002\u7528\u4e8e\u6211\u56fd\u78b3\u6392\u653e\u91cf\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">\u7b2c\u4e09\uff0c\u57fa\u4e8e\u9ad8\u3001\u4e2d\u548c\u4f4e\u4e09\u79cd\u53d1\u5c55\u60c5\u666f\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u672a\u6765\u78b3\u6392\u653e\u91cf\u8fdb\u884c\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u6211\u56fd\u78b3\u6392\u653e\u91cf\u5448\u73b0\u201c\u5012U\u201d\u8d8b\u52bf\u3002\u4f4e\u78b3\u60c5\u666f\u4e0e\u57fa\u51c6\u60c5\u666f\u5747\u80fd\u6ee1\u8db3\u6211\u56fd\u78b3\u8fbe\u5cf0\u8981\u6c42\uff0c\u800c\u9ad8\u78b3\u60c5\u666f\u4e0d\u80fd\u57282030\u5e74\u524d\u5b9e\u73b0\u78b3\u8fbe\u5cf0\u76ee\u6807\u3002\u4f4e\u78b3\u60c5\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u4f18\u5316\u4ea7\u4e1a\u7ed3\u6784\u4e0e\u80fd\u6e90\u7ed3\u6784\uff0c\u5e76\u5408\u7406\u8c03\u63a7\u4eba\u53e3\u589e\u957f\u3001\u57ce\u9547\u5316\u8fdb\u7a0b\u53ca\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u901f\u5ea6\uff0c\u4f4e\u78b3\u60c5\u666f\u5c55\u73b0\u51fa\u66f4\u5feb\u8fbe\u6210\u78b3\u8fbe\u5cf0\u76ee\u6807\u7684\u6f5c\u529b\u3002\u9ad8\u78b3\u60c5\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u6211\u56fd\u5927\u529b\u53d1\u5c55\u7ecf\u6d4e\uff0c\u5404\u9879\u80fd\u6e90\u6d88\u8017\u53ca\u78b3\u6392\u653e\u663e\u8457\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u5ef6\u540e\u4e86\u78b3\u8fbe\u5cf0\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u4e3a\u4e86\u5b9e\u73b02030\u5e74\u524d\u78b3\u8fbe\u5cf0\u7684\u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u6211\u56fd\u9700\u8981\u91c7\u53d6\u66f4\u52a0\u79ef\u6781\u7684\u884c\u52a8\uff0c\u63a8\u52a8\u80fd\u6e90\u7ed3\u6784\u7684\u4f18\u5316\u548c\u4f4e\u78b3\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u786e\u4fdd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u4e0e\u73af\u5883\u4fdd\u62a4\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5e73\u8861\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">\u53c2\u8003\u6587\u732e<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">[1]\u6768\u9759, \u90ed\u7fa4. \u7701\u7ea7\u5c42\u9762\u78b3\u6392\u653e\u4f30\u7b97\u53ca\u51cf\u6392\u8def\u5f84\u65b9\u6cd5\u7814\u7a76\u2014\u2014\u4ee5\u5b81\u590f\u4e3a\u4f8b[J]. \u4e2d\u56fd\u6c99\u6f20, 2023, 43(5): 176-185.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">[2]\u5f20\u5c11\u537f, \u96f7\u8389\u840d, \u5b8b\u8c6a. \u4e00\u79cd\u57fa\u4e8e\u5927\u6c14CO2\u6d53\u5ea6\u65f6\u7a7a\u7279\u5f81\u7684\u78b3\u6392\u653e\u5206\u533a\u4f30\u7b97\u65b9\u6cd5[J]. \u4e2d\u56fd\u73af\u5883\u79d1\u5b66, 2023, 43(10): 5604-5613.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">[3]Sharif A, Raza S A, Ozturk I, et al. 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Journal of Cleaner Production, 2019, 230: 118793.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">[5]\u5434\u743c,\u9a6c\u660a,\u4efb\u6d2a\u6ce2\u7b49.\u57fa\u4e8eLEAP\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u4e34\u6e2f\u65b0\u7247\u533a\u4e2d\u957f\u671f\u78b3\u6392\u653e\u9884\u6d4b\u53ca\u51cf\u6392\u6f5c\u529b\u5206\u6790[J].\u73af\u5883\u79d1\u5b66,2024,45(02):721-731.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">[6]\u738b\u4e00\u5a55, \u53f2\u6b66\u83b9. \u9ec4\u6cb3\u6d41\u57df\u57ce\u5e02\u78b3\u6392\u653e\u5f3a\u5ea6\u7684\u52a8\u6001\u6f14\u8fdb\u3001\u5dee\u5f02\u5206\u89e3\u53ca\u5f71\u54cd\u56e0\u7d20[J]. \u7edf\u8ba1\u4e0e\u51b3\u7b56, 2025, 1: 98-103.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">[7]Zhang X-P, Cheng X-M. Energy consumption, carbon emissions, and economic growth in China[J]. Ecological Economics, 2009, 68(9): 2706-2712.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">[8]Soytas U, Sari R, Ewing B T. Energy consumption, income, and carbon emissions in the United States[J]. Ecological Economics, 2007, 62(3): 482-489.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">[9]\u9648\u54f2\u6ca3\uff0c\u738b\u5065. \u57fa\u4e8e\u53d8\u5206\u6a21\u6001\u5206\u89e3\u7684\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e3b\u8981\u96c6\u88c5\u7bb1\u6e2f\u53e3\u78b3\u6392\u653e\u7ec4\u5408\u9884\u6d4b[J]. \u4e2d\u56fd\u822a\u6d77, 2024, 47(4): 138-145.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">[10]\u674e\u6e0a\uff0c\u5f20\u829d\u956a\uff0c\u6e29\u6167\uff0c\u8521\u667a\uff0c\u90ed\u5b87\u9f99\uff0c\u674e\u5929\u5929\uff0c\u738b\u5609\u8bda\uff0c\u5f20\u7433\u654f\uff0c\u5f90\u826f\u96ea. \u57fa\u4e8e\u673a\u5668\u5b66\u4e60\u7684\u4e2d\u56fd\u78b3\u6392\u653e\u5f71\u54cd\u56e0\u7d20\u5206\u6790\u4e0e\u8fbe\u5cf0\u60c5\u666f\u6a21\u62df[J\/OL]. \u73af\u5883\u79d1\u5b66, 2024, 47(4): 138-145.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">[11]\u8bf8\u6653\u9a8f\uff0c\u859b\u8d35\u5143\uff0c\u5f90\u7b5d\uff0c\u9648\u741b\uff0c\u5434\u57a0\uff0c\u725b\u6587\u5a1f. \u57fa\u4e8e\u53cc\u6a21\u5f0f\u5206\u89e3\u7684\u975e\u7ebf\u6027\u96c6\u6210\u77ed\u671f\u78b3\u6392\u653e\u9884\u6d4b[J\/OL]. \u73af\u5883\u79d1\u5b66, 2024, 47(4): 138-145.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">[12]\u738b\u5fd7\u5f3a\uff0c\u66f9\u6c38\u797a\uff0c\u674e\u7855\uff0c\u4efb\u91d1\u54e5. \u7ed3\u5408\u4e13\u5bb6\u77e5\u8bc6\u7684\u4f4f\u5b85\u5efa\u7b51\u7269\u5316\u9636\u6bb5\u78b3\u6392\u653e\u673a\u5668\u5b66\u4e60\u9884\u6d4b\u7814\u7a76[J]. \u5e72\u65f1\u533a\u8d44\u6e90\u4e0e\u73af\u5883, 2025, 39(1): 38-48.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">[13]\u9c8d\u5b66\u82f1\uff0c\u859b\u6625\u71d5\uff0c\u674e\u5b50\u9f99\uff0c\u5415\u5411\u8339. \u94c1\u8def\u6865\u6881\u7269\u5316\u9636\u6bb5\u78b3\u6392\u653e\u8ba1\u7b97\u53ca\u5f71\u54cd\u56e0\u7d20\u5206\u6790[J\/OL]. \u5b89\u5168\u4e0e\u73af\u5883\u5b66\u62a5, 2024, 47(4): 138-145.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">[14]\u7ba1\u536b\u534e\uff0c\u5f90\u6167\uff0c\u674e\u7115\u5170\uff0c\u5434\u5c0f\u59ae\uff0c\u5434\u5dcd\uff0c\u5434\u8fde\u971e. \u4e2d\u56fd\u80fd\u6e90\u6d88\u8d39\u78b3\u6392\u653e\u6f14\u5316\u4e0e\u4eff\u771f\u9884\u6d4b[J\/OL]. \u73af\u5883\u79d1\u5b66, 2024, 47(4): 138-145.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">[15] Narayan P K, Saboori B, Soleymani A. Economic growth and carbon emissions[J]. Economic Modelling, 2015, 46: 49-59.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">[16]Wang H, Gu K, Sun H, et al. Reconfirmation of the symbiosis on carbon emissions and air pollution: A spatial spillover perspective[J]. Science of The Total Environment, 2022, 809: 151084.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">[17]\u674e\u6c49\u4e1c,\u5411\u6893\u822a,\u5d14\u96ea\u5cf0.\u4eba\u53e3\u56e0\u7d20\u9a71\u52a8\u4e0b\u7684\u4e2d\u56fd\u78b3\u6392\u653e\u5f3a\u5ea6\u9884\u6d4b[J].\u5317\u4eac\u5e08\u8303\u5927\u5b66\u5b66\u62a5(\u81ea\u7136\u79d1\u5b66\u7248),2023,59(05):822-829.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">\u3010\u672c\u6587\u7cfb\u56fd\u5bb6\u81ea\u7136\u79d1\u5b66\u57fa\u91d1\uff0872472050\uff09\u3001\u6559\u80b2\u90e8\u4eba\u6587\u793e\u79d1\u57fa\u91d1\uff0824YJA630115\uff09\u8d44\u52a9\u9879\u76ee\u3011<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">\uff08\u8bb8\u6653\u654f\u7cfb\u534e\u5317\u7535\u529b\u5927\u5b66\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e0e\u7ba1\u7406\u5b66\u9662\u526f\u6559\u6388\uff1b\u59da\u6da6\u5764\u3001\u5b54\u4e9a\u6960\u3001\u4ed8\u5c27\u7cfb\u534e\u5317\u7535\u529b\u5927\u5b66\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e0e\u7ba1\u7406\u5b66\u9662\u7855\u58eb\u7814\u7a76\u751f\uff09&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u8bb8\u6653\u654f \u59da\u6da6\u5764 \u5b54\u4e9a\u6960 \u4ed8 \u5c27\uff08\u534e\u5317\u7535\u529b\u5927\u5b66\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e0e\u7ba1\u7406\u5b66\u9662\uff09 \u6458 \u8981\uff1a\u5f53\u524d\uff0c\u6211\u56fd\u6b63\u5904\u4e8e\u9010\u6b65\u5b9e\u73b0\u53ef\u6301\u7eed\u53d1\u5c55\u548c\u751f\u6001<\/p>\n<div class=\"read-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/nefi.develpress.com\/?p=16940\" title=\"\u9605\u8bfb\u66f4\u591a\">\u9605\u8bfb\u66f4\u591a<\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[344],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/nefi.develpress.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16940"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/nefi.develpress.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/nefi.develpress.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nefi.develpress.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nefi.develpress.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=16940"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/nefi.develpress.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16940\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":16941,"href":"https:\/\/nefi.develpress.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16940\/revisions\/16941"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/nefi.develpress.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=16940"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nefi.develpress.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=16940"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nefi.develpress.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=16940"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}